Petr Havlik

Petr Havlik joined the Forestry Program as a Research Scholar in July 2007.



After studies in the Czech Republic and in France, Dr. Havlik received an M.Sc. degree in economics and management (2001), and in economics of agriculture, agri-business, and rural development (2002), from the Mendel University of Agriculture and Forestry in Brno (Czech Republic) and the University of Montpellier 1 (France), respectively. In his master's thesis he analyzed positive environmental externalities arising from agriculture, first from the demand side, applying monetary valuation methods to agricultural landscapes, and then from the supply side, evaluating the production cost of these externalities by means of mathematical programming farm-level models.



Dr. Havlik pursued the analysis of environmental goods production by farmers also in his PhD thesis, under a double supervision at the University of Montpellier 1 and the Mendel University. Within his PhD thesis, he explicitly considered the jointness in production of environmental and agricultural goods, and the jointness between environmental goods themselves. By means of mathematical programming models, he analyzed implications of jointness for agri-environmental policy design, with special attention to uncertainty. He defended his thesis and received a PhD degree in 2006.



Before joining IIASA, Dr. Havlik shortly worked as a post-doc at INRA Grignon (France), where he set up a spatially explicit optimization model for the design of biodiversity compatible landscape pattern policies. Dr. Havlik's current research interests include the use and development of forest and agricultural sector optimization models at the European and global level.



Last update: 21-MAR-2018

Soussana J-F, Lutfalla S, Ehrhardt F, Rosenstock T, Lamanna C, Havlik P, Richards M, Wollenberg E, et al. (2019). Matching policy and science: Rationale for the ‘4 per 1000 - soils for food security and climate’ initiative. Soil and Tillage Research 188: 3-15. DOI:10.1016/j.still.2017.12.002.

Frank S, Havlik P, Stehfest E, van Meijl H, Witzke P, Pérez-Domínguez I, van Dijk M, Doelman JC, et al. (2019). Agricultural non-CO2 emission reduction potential in the context of the 1.5 °C target. Nature Climate Change 9 (1): 66-72. DOI:10.1038/s41558-018-0358-8.

Palazzo A ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8167-9403, Valin H ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0618-773X, Batka M ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0517-7473, & Havlik P (2019). Investment needs for irrigation infrastructure along different socio-economic pathways. World Bank

Deppermann A, Havlik P, Valin H, Boere E, Herrero M, Vervoort J, & Mathijs E (2018). The market impacts of shortening feed supply chains in Europe. Food Security 10 (6): 1401-1410. DOI:10.1007/s12571-018-0868-2.

Sandstrom V, Valin H, Krisztin T, Havlik P, Herrero M, & Kastner T (2018). The role of trade in the greenhouse gas footprints of EU diets. Global Food Security 19: 48-55. DOI:10.1016/j.gfs.2018.08.007.

Tang T ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2867-9241, Strokal M, Burek P ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6390-8487, Leclere D, Kroeze C, Havlik P, Langan S ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0742-3658, & Wada Y ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4770-2539 (2018). Increasing future human-induced nitrogen exports to rivers and sea in the Zambezi river basin. In: AGU Fall Meeting, 10-14 December 2018, Washington DC,USA.

Zurek M, Hebinck A, Leip A, Vervoort J, Kuiper M, Garrone M, Havlik P, Heckelei T, et al. (2018). Assessing Sustainable Food and Nutrition Security of the EU Food System—An Integrated Approach. Sustainability 10 (11): p. 4271. DOI:10.3390/su10114271.

Kim H, Rosa IMD, Alkemade R, Leadley P, Hurtt G, Popp A, van Vuuren D, Anthoni P, et al. (2018). A protocol for an intercomparison of biodiversity and ecosystem services models using harmonized land-use and climate scenarios. Geoscientific Model Development 11: 4537-4562. DOI:10.5194/gmd-11-4537-2018. (Submitted)

Gidden M, Riahi K ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7193-3498, Smith S, Fujimori S, Luderer G, Kriegler E, van Vuuren DP, van den Berg M, et al. (2018). Global emissions pathways under different socioeconomic scenarios for use in CMIP6: a dataset of harmonized emissions trajectories through the end of the century. Geoscientific Model Development Discussions: 1-42. DOI:10.5194/gmd-2018-266. (In Press)

Boere E, Mosnier A, Bocquého G, Garbero A, Krisztin T, Havlik P, & Elhaut T (2018). Developing country-wide farming system typologies: An analysis of Ethiopian smallholders’ income and food security. IFAD

Palazzo A ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8167-9403, van Dijk M, Willaarts B, Magnuszewski P, Mayor Rodriguez B, Burek P ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6390-8487, Kahil T, Tang T ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2867-9241, et al. (2018). Integrated solutions for water, energy, and land nexus management the Zambezi Basin: stakeholder engagement and modeling. In: 3rd Zambezi Basin Stakeholders’ forum: Water-Energy-Food-Ecosystems (WEFE) Nexus for Socio-Economic Benefits in the Zambezi River Basin, 8-9 October 2018, Lilongwe, Malawi.

Lloyd SJ, Bangalore M, Chalabi Z, Kovats RS, Hallegatte S, Rozenberg J, Valin H, & Havlik P (2018). A Global-Level Model of the Potential Impacts of Climate Change on Child Stunting via Income and Food Price in 2030. Environmental Health Perspectives 126 (9): e097007. DOI:10.1289/EHP2916.

Byers E ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0349-5742, Parkinson S, Balkovic J ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2955-4931, Burek P ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6390-8487, Ebi K, Gidden M, Grey D, Greve P, et al. (2018). Global climate and development hotspots assessment: Asia under pressure. In: 5th Asian Energy Modelling Workshop, 10-12 September 2018, Singapore.

van Dijk M, You L, Mosnier A, Havlik P, & Palazzo A ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8167-9403 (2018). Generating high-resolution national crop distribution maps: Combining statistics, gridded data and surveys using an optimization approach. In: 30th International Conference of Agricultural Economists (ICAE), August 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.

Hasegawa T, Fujimori S, Havlík P, Valin H, Bodirsky BL, Doelman JC, Fellmann T, Kyle P, et al. (2018). Risk of increased food insecurity under stringent global climate change mitigation policy. Nature Climate Change 8 (8): 699-703. DOI:10.1038/s41558-018-0230-x.

Fujimori S, Hasegawa T, Rogelj J, Su X, Havlik P, Krey V, Takahashi K, & Riahi K (2018). Inclusive climate change mitigation and food security policy under 1.5°C climate goal. Environmental Research Letters 13 (7): e074033. DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/aad0f7.

Bai Z, Ma W, Ma L, Velthof GL, Wei Z, Havlik P, Oenema O, Lee MRF, et al. (2018). China’s livestock transition: Driving forces, impacts, and consequences. Science Advances 4 (7): eaar8534. DOI:10.1126/sciadv.aar8534.

Luderer G, Vrontisi Z, Bertram C, Edelenbosch O, Pietzcker RC, Rogelj J, De Boer HS, Drouet L, et al. (2018). Residual fossil CO2 emissions in 1.5–2°C pathways. Nature Climate Change 8 (7): 626-633. DOI:10.1038/s41558-018-0198-6.

Soterroni A, Mosnier A, Carvalho A, Câmara G, Obersteiner M, Andrade PR, Souza RC, Brock R, et al. (2018). Future environmental and agricultural impacts of Brazil's Forest Code. Environmental Research Letters DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/aaccbb.

Gusti M, Forsell N, Havlik P, Khabarov N, Kraxner F, & Obersteiner M (2018). The sensitivity of the costs of reducing emissions from deforestation and degradation (REDD) to future socioeconomic drivers and its implications for mitigation policy design. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change DOI:10.1007/s11027-018-9817-9. (In Press)

Baker JS, Havlik P, Beach R, Leclere D, Schmid E, Valin H, Cole J, Creason J, et al. (2018). Evaluating the effects of climate change on US agricultural systems: sensitivity to regional impact and trade expansion scenarios. Environmental Research Letters 13 (6): e064019. DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/aac1c2.

van Meijl H, Havlik P, Lotze-Campen H, Stehfest E, Witzke P, Domínguez IP, Bodirsky BL, van Dijk M, et al. (2018). Comparing impacts of climate change and mitigation on global agriculture by 2050. Environmental Research Letters 13 (6): e064021. DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/aabdc4.

Grubler A, Wilson C, Bento N, Boza-Kiss B, Krey V, McCollum D, Rao N, Riahi K, et al. (2018). A low energy demand scenario for meeting the 1.5 °C target and sustainable development goals without negative emission technologies. Nature Energy 3 (6): 517-525. DOI:10.1038/s41560-018-0172-6.

Kanter DR, Musumba M, Wood SLR, Palm C, Antle J, Balvanera P, Dale VH, Havlik P, et al. (2018). Evaluating agricultural trade-offs in the age of sustainable development. Agricultural Systems 163: 73-88. DOI:10.1016/j.agsy.2016.09.010.

Byers E ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0349-5742, Gidden M, Leclere D, Balkovic J ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2955-4931, Burek P ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6390-8487, Ebi K, Grey D, Greve P, et al. (2018). Global exposure and vulnerability to multi-sector development and climate change hotspots. In: International Energy Workshop, 19-21 June 2018, Gothenburg, Sweden.

Rutten M, Achterbosch TJ, de Boer IMJ, Crespo Cuaresma J, Geleijnse JM, Havlik P, Heckelei T, Ingram J, et al. (2018). Metrics, models and foresight for European sustainable food and nutrition security: The vision of the SUSFANS project. Agricultural Systems 163: 45-57. DOI:10.1016/j.agsy.2016.10.014.

Leclere D, Obersteiner M ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6981-2769, Alkemade R, Almond R, Barrett M, Bunting G, Burgess N, Butchart S, et al. (2018). Towards pathways bending the curve terrestrial biodiversity trends within the 21st century. IIASA

Seneviratne I, Wartenburger R, Guillod BP, Hirsch AL, Vogel Martha M, Brovkin V, van Vuuren DP, Schaller N, et al. (2018). Climate extremes, land–climate feedbacks and land-use forcing at 1.5°C. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences 376 (2119): e20160450. DOI:10.1098/rsta.2016.0450.

Bai Z, Lee MRF, Ma Lin, Ledgard S, Oenema O, Velthof GL, Ma W, Guo M, et al. (2018). Global environmental costs of China's thirst for milk. Global Change Biology 24 (5): 2198-2211. DOI:10.1111/gcb.14047.

Byers E ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0349-5742, Gidden M, Leclere D, Burek P, Ebi KL, Greve P, Grey D, Havlik P, et al. (2018). Global exposure and vulnerability to multi-sector development and climate change hotspots. Environmental Research Letters 13: e055012. DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/aabf45.

Lesiv M, Schepaschenko D, Moltchanova E, Bun R, Dürauer M, Prishchepov AV, Schierhorn F, Estel S, et al. (2018). Spatial distribution of arable and abandoned land across former Soviet Union countries. Scientific Data 5: e180056. DOI:10.1038/sdata.2018.56.

Rosenzweig C, Ruane AC, Antle J, Elliott J, Ashfaq M, Chatta AA, Ewert F, Folberth C, et al. (2018). Coordinating AgMIP data and models across global and regional scales for 1.5°C and 2.0°C assessments. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences 376 (2119): e20160455. DOI:10.1098/rsta.2016.0455.

Frank S, Beach R, Havlik P, Valin H, Herrero M, Mosnier A, Hasegawa T, Creason J, et al. (2018). Structural change as a key component for agricultural non-CO2 mitigation efforts. Nature Communications 9 (1) DOI:10.1038/s41467-018-03489-1.

Rogelj J, Popp A, Calvin KV, Luderer G, Emmerling J, Gernaat D, Fujimori S, Strefler J, et al. (2018). Scenarios towards limiting global mean temperature increase below 1.5 °C. Nature Climate Change 8 (4): 325-332. DOI:10.1038/s41558-018-0091-3.

Deppermann A, Balkovic J ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2955-4931, Bundle S-C, Di Fulvio F ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7317-6360, Havlik P, Leclere D, Lesiv M, Prishchepov A, et al. (2018). Increasing crop production in Russia and Ukraine—regional and global impacts from intensification and recultivation. Environmental Research Letters 13 (2): e025008. DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/aaa4a4.

Obersteiner M ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6981-2769, Bednar J, Wagner F ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3429-2374, Gasser T ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4882-2647, Ciais P, Forsell N, Frank S ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5702-8547, Havlik P, et al. (2018). How to spend a dwindling greenhouse gas budget. Nature Climate Change 8 (1): 7-10. DOI:10.1038/s41558-017-0045-1.

Esmeijer K, den Elzen M, Gernaat D, van Vuuren D, Doelman J, Keramidas K, Tchung-Ming S, Despres J, et al. (2018). 2 °C and 1.5 °C scenarios and possibilities of limiting the use of BECCS and bio-energy. PBL Publishers

Gidden M, Byers E ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0349-5742, Burek P ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6390-8487, Ebi K, Greve P, Havlik P, Hillers A, Johnson N, et al. (2017). Exposure and Vulnerability to Energy, Water, and Land Hotspots under Different Climate Futures. In: 10th Integrated Assessment Modelling Consortium Meeting, December 2017.

Palazzo A ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8167-9403, Havlik P, & van Dijk M (2017). Future energy, food, and water trade-offs in the Zambezi river basin: A model analysis of Zambia. In: Global Food Security Conference, December 2017.

Kuramochi T, Fekete H, Hans F, Luna L, Gonzales-Zuniga S, Sterl S, Hagemann M, Hohne N, et al. (2017). Greenhouse gas mitigation scenarios for major emitting countries: Analysis of current climate policies and mitigation commitments 2017 update. New Climate Institute

Byers E ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0349-5742, Gidden M, Burek P ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6390-8487, Leclere D, Palazzo A ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8167-9403, Parkinson S, Rogelj J ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Satoh Y, et al. (2017). Multi-sector climate impacts assessment for water, energy and land. In: Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project Meeting, 9-10 October 2017, Potsdam, Germany.

Byers E ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0349-5742, Gidden M, Burek P ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6390-8487, Leclere D, Palazzo A ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8167-9403, Rogelj J ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Satoh Y, Wada Y ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4770-2539, et al. (2017). Future exposure and vulnerability to multi-sector hotspots. In: Impacts World 2017, 11-13 October 2017, Potsdam, Germany.

Lauri P, Forsell N, Korosuo A, Havlik P, Obersteiner M, & Nordin A (2017). Impact of the 2 °C target on global woody biomass use. Forest Policy and Economics 83: 121-130. DOI:10.1016/j.forpol.2017.07.005.

Palazzo A ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8167-9403, Havlik P, Leclere D, van Dijk M, & Deppermann A (2017). Hotspots in land and water resource uses on the way toward achieving the Sustainable Development Goals. In: Impacts World Conference, 11-13 Octover 2017.

Frank S, Havlik P, Soussana J-F, Levesque A, Valin H, Wollenberg E, Kleinwechter U, Fricko O, et al. (2017). Reducing greenhouse gas emissions in agriculture without compromising food security? Environmental Research Letters 12 (10): e105004. DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/aa8c83.

Rao S, Klimont Z, Smith SJ, Van Dingenen R, Dentener F, Bouwman L, Riahi K, Amann M, et al. (2017). Future air pollution in the Shared Socio-economic Pathways. Global Environmental Change 42: 346-358. DOI:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.012.

Palazzo A ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8167-9403, Vervoort JM, Mason-D’Croz D, Rutting L, Havlik P, Islam S, Bayala J, Valin H ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0618-773X, et al. (2017). Linking regional stakeholder scenarios and shared socioeconomic pathways: Quantified West African food and climate futures in a global context. Global Environmental Change 45: 227-242. DOI:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.12.002.

Fetzel T, Havlik P, Herrero M, Kaplan JO, Kastner T, Kroisleitner C, Rolinski S, Searchinger T, et al. (2017). Quantification of uncertainties in global grazing systems assessments. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 31 (7): 1089-1102. DOI:10.1002/2016GB005601.

Schelhaas M-J, Nabuurs G-J, Verkerk PJ, Hengeveld G, Packalen T, Sallnäs O, Pilli R, Grassi G, et al. (2017). Forest Resource Projection Tools at the European Level. In: Forest Inventory-based Projection Systems for Wood and Biomass Availability. Eds. Barreiro, S., Schelhaas, M.-J., McRoberts, R.E. & Kändler, G., pp. 49-68 Cham, Switzerland: Springer International Publishing. ISBN 978-3-319-56201-810.1007/978-3-319-56201-8_4.

Mosnier A, Boere E, Reumann A, Yowargana P, Pirker J, Havlik P, & Pacheco P (2017). Palm oil and likely futures: Assessing the potential impacts of zero deforestation commitments and a moratorium on large-scale oil palm plantations in Indonesia. CIFOR Infobrief (177) DOI:10.17528/cifor/006468.

Fetzel T, Havlik P, Herrero M, & Erb K-H (2017). Seasonality constraints to livestock grazing intensity. Global Change Biology 23 (4): 1636-1647. DOI:10.1111/gcb.13591.

Herrero M, Thornton PK, Power B, Bogard JR, Remans R, Fritz S, Gerber JS, Nelson G, et al. (2017). Farming and the geography of nutrient production for human use: a transdisciplinary analysis. The Lancet Planetary Health 1 (1): e33-e42. DOI:10.1016/S2542-5196(17)30007-4.

Ermolieva T, Ermoliev Y, Havlik P, Mosnier A, Leclere D, Fritz S, Valin H, Obersteiner M, et al. (2017). Dynamic Merge of the Global and Local Models for Sustainable Land Use Planning with Regard for Global Projections from GLOBIOM and Local Technical–Economic Feasibility and Resource Constraints. Cybernetics and Systems Analysis 53 (2): 176-185. DOI:10.1007/s10559-017-9917-7.

Gerssen-Gondelach SJ, Lauwerijssen RBG, Havlik P, Herrero M, Valin H, Faaij APC, & Wicke B (2017). Intensification pathways for beef and dairy cattle production systems: Impacts on GHG emissions, land occupation and land use change. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment 240: 135-147. DOI:10.1016/j.agee.2017.02.012.

Hatfield-Dodds S, Schandl H, Newth D, Obersteiner M, Cai Y, Baynes T, West J, & Havlik P (2017). Assessing global resource use and greenhouse emissions to 2050, with ambitious resource efficiency and climate mitigation policies. Journal of Cleaner Production 144: 403-414. DOI:10.1016/j.jclepro.2016.12.170.

Fricko O, Havlik P, Rogelj J, Klimont Z, Gusti M, Johnson N, Kolp P, Strubegger M, et al. (2017). The marker quantification of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 2: A middle-of-the-road scenario for the 21st century. Global Environmental Change 42: 251-267. DOI:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.06.004.

Gambhir A, Drouet L, McCollum D, Napp T, Bernie D, Hawkes A, Fricko O, Havlik P, et al. (2017). Assessing the Feasibility of Global Long-Term Mitigation Scenarios. Energies 10 (1): e89. DOI:10.3390/en10010089.

Bauer N, Calvin K, Emmerling J, Fricko O, Fujimori S, Hilaire J, Eom J, Krey V, et al. (2017). Shared Socio-Economic Pathways of the Energy Sector – Quantifying the Narratives. Global Environmental Change 42: 316-330. DOI:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.07.006.

Marangoni G, Tavoni M, Bosetti V, Borgonovo E, Capros P, Fricko O, Gernaat D E H J, Guivarch C, et al. (2017). Sensitivity of projected long-term CO2 emissions across the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. Nature Climate Change 7 (2): 113-117. DOI:10.1038/nclimate3199.

Mosnier A, Tonga P, Mant R, Pirker J, Pietsch S, Bocqueho G, Bodin B, Gillet P, et al. (2017). CoForTips Congo basin forests: tipping points for biodiversity conservation and resilience. Final Report (La modélisation des changements d’utilisation des terres dans les pays d’Afrique Centrale 2000-2030). IIASA Contract No. 13-102

Popp A, Calvin K, Fujimori S, Havlik P, Humpenöder F, Stehfest E, Bodirsky BL, Dietrich JP, et al. (2017). Land-use futures in the shared socio-economic pathways. Global Environmental Change 42: 331-345. DOI:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.10.002.

Riahi K, van Vuuren DP, Kriegler E, Edmonds J, O'Neill B, Fujimori S, Bauer N, Calvin K, et al. (2017). The shared socioeconomic pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview. Global Environmental Change 42: 153-168. DOI:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.009.

Alexander P, Prestele R, Verburg PH, Arneth A, Baranzelli C, Batista e Silva F, Brown C, Butler A, et al. (2017). Assessing uncertainties in land cover projections. Global Change Biology 23: 767-781. DOI:10.1111/gcb.13447.

Carlson KM, Gerber JS, Mueller ND, Herrero M, MacDonald GK, Brauman KA, Havlik P, O’Connell CS, et al. (2017). Greenhouse gas emissions intensity of global croplands. Nature Climate Change 7 (1): 63-68. DOI:10.1038/nclimate3158.

Ermoliev Y, Ermolieva T, Havlik P, Mosnier A, Leclere D, Fritz S, Obersteiner M, Kyryzyuk S, et al. (2017). Robust downscaling approaches to disaggregation of data and projections under uncertainties: Case of land use and land use change systems. Cybernetics and Systems analysis 53 (1): 31-41.

Obersteiner M, Balkovic J, Böttcher H, Bouma J, Fritz S, Fuss S, Havlik P, Heumesser C, et al. (2017). The Value of Global Earth Observations. In: Satellite Earth Observations and Their Impact on Society and Policy. Eds. Onoda, M. & Young, O.R., pp. 137-142 Singapore: Springer. ISBN 978-981-10-3713-910.1007/978-981-10-3713-9_12.

Forsell N, Turkovska O, Gusti M, den Elzen M, Obersteiner M, & Havlik P (2016). Assessing the INDCs' land use, land use change, and forest emission projections. Carbon Balance and Management 11 (26): 1-17. DOI:10.1186/s13021-016-0068-3.

Prestele R, Alexander P, Rounsevell M, Arneth A, Calvin K, Doelman J, Eitelberg D, Engström K, et al. (2016). Hotspots of uncertainty in land use and land cover change projections: a global scale model comparison. Global Change Biology 22 (12): 3967-3983. DOI:10.1111/gcb.13337.

Wollenberg E, Richards M, Smith P, Havlik P, Obersteiner M, Tubiello FN, Herold M, Gerber P, et al. (2016). Reducing emissions from agriculture to meet the 2°C target. Global Change Biology 22 (12): 3859-3864. DOI:10.1111/gcb.13340.

Dumont B, Dupraz P, Aubin J, Benot M, Bouamra-Mechemache Z, Chatellier V, Delaby L, Delfosse C, et al. (2016). Rôles,impacts et services issus des élevages en Europe. Synthèse du rapport d’expertise scientifique collective. INRA, France

Mosnier A, Camara G, Carvalho Ywata A, Havlik P, Kapos V, Kraxner F, Makoudjou A, Mant R, et al. (2016). Disentangling the effects of local and global drivers of deforestation with the GLOBIOM model. In: Global Land Project 3rd Open Science Meeting (GLPOSM16), 24-27 October 2016, China National Convention Center, Beijing, China.

Gerber JS, Carlson KM, Makowski D, Mueller ND, Garcia de Cortazar-Atauri I, Havlik P, Herrero M, Launay M, et al. (2016). Spatially explicit estimates of N2O emissions from croplands suggest climate mitigation opportunities from improved fertilizer management. Global Change Biology 22 (10): 3383-3394. DOI:10.1111/gcb.13341.

Camara G, Soterroni A, Ramos F, Carvalho A, Andrade P, Souza RS, Mosnier A, Mant R, et al. (2016). Modelling Land Use Change in Brazil:2000-2050 (Dataset). DOI:10.22022/REDD/09-2016.13782.

Ermolieva T, Havlík P, Ermoliev Y, Mosnier A, Obersteiner M, Leclère D, Khabarov N, Valin H, et al. (2016). Integrated Management of Land Use Systems under Systemic Risks and Security Targets: A Stochastic Global Biosphere Management Model. Journal of Agricultural Economics 67 (3): 584-601. DOI:10.1111/1477-9552.12173.

Frank S, Böttcher H, Gusti M, Havlík P, Klaassen G, Kindermann G, & Obersteiner M (2016). Dynamics of the land use, land use change, and forestry sink in the European Union: the impacts of energy and climate targets for 2030. Climatic Change 138 (1): 253-266. DOI:10.1007/s10584-016-1729-7.

Palazzo A ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8167-9403, Vervoort JM, Mason-D’Croz D, Rutting L, Havlik P, Islam S, Bayala J, Kadi HK, et al. (2016). Interpreting the Shared Socio-economic Pathways under Climate Change for the ECOWAS region through a stakeholder and multi-model process. In: 5th International Conference of the African Association of Agricultural Economists, September 23-26, 2016, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Pirker J, Mosnier A, Kraxner F, Havlik P, & Obersteiner M (2016). What are the limits to oil palm expansion? Global Environmental Change 40: 73-81. DOI:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.06.007.

Nordström E-M, Forsell N, Lundström A, Korosuo A, Bergh J, Havlik P, Kraxner F, Frank S, et al. (2016). Impacts of global climate change mitigation scenarios on forests and harvesting in Sweden. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 46 (12): 1427-1438. DOI:10.1139/cjfr-2016-0122.

Capros P, De Vita A, Tasios N, Siskos P, Kannavou M, Petropoulos A, Evangelopoulou S, Zampara M, et al. (2016). EU Reference Scenario 2016 - Energy, transport and GHG emissions Trends to 2050. European Commission Directorate - General for Energy, Directorate - General for Climate Action and Directorate - General for Mobility and Transport

Lochhead K, Ghafghazi S, Havlik P, Forsell N, Obersteiner M, Bull G, & Mabee W (2016). Price trends and volatility scenarios for designing forest sector transformation. Energy Economics 57: 184-191. DOI:10.1016/j.eneco.2016.05.001.

Câmara G, Ramos F, Soterroni A, Cartaxo R, Andrade P, Buurman M, Affonso A, Espíndola G, et al. (2016). Using Models to inform Policies that meet multiple Objectives. Assessing the Contribution of Brazil's Forest Code to Biodiversity Conservation. INPE, IPEA, IIASA, UNEP-WCMC

Mant R, Garcia-Rangel S, Tadoum M, Nchoutpouen C, Tonga P, Makoudjou A, Bokelo Bile D, Ndinga RG, et al. (2016). Using models to inform policies to meet multiple objectives. Sustainable development, climate change mitigation and biodiversity conservation in Central Africa. UNEP-WCMC, IIASA, COMIFAC

Herrero M, Henderson B, Havlik P, Thornton Philip K, Conant RT, Smith P, Wirsenius S, Hristov AN, et al. (2016). Greenhouse gas mitigation potentials in the livestock sector. Nature Climate Change 6 (5): 452-461. DOI:10.1038/nclimate2925.

Chang J, Ciais P, Viovy N, Vuichard N, Havlik P, Wang H, Sultan B, & Soussana J-F (2016). Effect of climate change, CO2 trends, nitrogen addition, land cover and management intensity change on the carbon balance of European grasslands. Global Change Biology 22 (1): 338-350. DOI:10.1111/gcb.13050.

Forsell N, Korosuo A, Havlik P, Valin H, Lauri P, Gusti M, Kindermann G, & Obersteiner M (2016). Study on impacts on resource efficiency of future EU demand for bioenergy. Task 3: Modelling of impacts of an increased EU bioenergy demand on biomass production, use and prices. Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg, 109 pp.

Chang J, Ciais P, Herrero M, Havlik P, Campioli M, Zhang X, Bai Y, Viovy N, et al. (2016). Combining livestock production information in a process-based vegetation model to reconstruct the history of grassland management. Biogeosciences 13 (12): 3757-3776. DOI:10.5194/bg-13-3757-2016.

Ekins P, Hughes N, Brigenzu S, Arden Clark C, Fischer-Kowalski M, Graedel T, Hajer M, Hashimoto S, et al. (2016). Resource Efficiency: Potential and Economic Implications. Report of the International Resource Panel, United Nations Environment Program (UNEP), Paris

Forsell N, Korosuo A, Havlik P, Valin H, Lauri P, Gusti M, Kindermann G, Obersteiner M, et al. (2016). Study on impacts on resource efficiency of future EU demand for bioenergy (ReceBio). Final report. Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union. ISBN 978-92-79-58757-3

Forsell N, Korosuo A, Lauri P, Gusti M, Havlik P, Böttcher H, & Hennenberg K (2016). Follow-up study on impacts on resource efficiency of future EU demand for bioenergy (ReceBio follow-up). Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union. ISBN 978-92-79-64433-7

Herrero M, Addison J, Bedelian C, Carabine E, Havlik P, Henderson B, van de Steeg J, & Thornton PK (2016). Climate change and pastoralism: impacts, consequences and adaptation. Revue Scientifique et Technique- Office International des Epizooties 35 (2): 417-433. DOI:10.20506/rst/35.2.2533.

Leclere D & Havlik P (2016). Modelling heat stress on livestock: how can we reach long-term and global coverage? FACCE MACSUR Reports 8: SP-8.

Leclère D, Azevedo L, Skalsky R, Balkovič J, & Havlik P (2016). Towards systematic evaluation of crop model outputs for global land-use models. In: European Geosciences Union (EGU) General Assembly 2016, 17–22 April 2016, Vienna, Austria.

Mason-D'Croz Daniel, Vervoort Joost, Palazzo A ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8167-9403, Islam Shahnila, Lord Steven, Helfgott Ariella, Havlik P, Peou Rathana, et al. (2016). Multi-factor, multi-state, multi-model scenarios: Exploring food and climate futures for Southeast Asia. Environmental Modelling & Software 83: 255-270. DOI:10.1016/j.envsoft.2016.05.008.

Müller D, Haberl H, Bartels LE, Baumann M, Beckert M, Levers C, Schierhorn F, Zscheischler J, et al. (2016). Competition for land-based ecosystem services: trade-offs and synergies. In: Land Use Competition. pp. 127-147 Cham, Switzerland: Springer International Publishing. ISBN 978-3-319-33628-210.1007/978-3-319-33628-2_8.

Obersteiner M ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6981-2769, Walsh B ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1689-2309, Frank S ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5702-8547, Havlik P, Cantele M, Liu J, Palazzo A ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8167-9403, Herrero M, et al. (2016). Assessing the land resource-food price nexus of the Sustainable Development Goals. Science Advances 2 (9): e1501499. DOI:10.1126/sciadv.1501499.

Palazzo A ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8167-9403, Rutting L, Zougmoré R, Vervoort JM, Havlik P, Jalloh A, Aubee E, Helfgott AES, et al. (2016). The future of food security, environments and livelihoods in Western Africa. Four socio-economic scenarios. CCAFS Working Paper no. 130. CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS)

Pastor A, Palazzo A ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8167-9403, Havlik P, Kabat P, Obersteiner M ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6981-2769, & Ludwig F (2016). The future of irrigated agriculture under environmental flow requirements restrictions. In: European Geosciences Union (EGU) General Assembly 2016, 17–22 April 2016, Vienna, Austria.

Davis KF, Yu K, Herrero M, Havlik P, Carr JA, & D’Odorico P (2015). Historical trade-offs of livestock’s environmental impacts. Environmental Research Letters 10 (12): p. 125013. DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/125013.

Davis KF, Yu K, Herrero M, Havlik P, Carr JA, & D'Odorico P (2015). Historical trade-offs of livestock's environmental impacts. Environmental Research Letters 10 (12): no.125013. DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/125013.

Bocqueho G, Boere E, Mosnier A, & Havlik P (2015). Improving Ethiopian Smallholders’ Income and Food Security: An Assessment of Alternative Policy Options. In: Systems Analysis 2015 - A Conference in Celebration of Howard Raiffa, 11 -13 November, 2015, Laxenburg, Austria.

Camara G, Soterroni A, Ramos F, Carvalho A, Andrade P, Souza RS, Mosnier A, Mant R, et al. (2015). Modelling Land Use Change in Brazil: 2000–2050. NPE, IPEA, IIASA, UNEP-WCMC

Ermolieva T, Havlik P, Yermoliev Y, Mosnier A, Obersteiner M, Leclère D, Khabarov N, Valin H, et al. (2015). Integrated Management of Land-use Systems under Systemic Risks and Food-(bio)energy-water-environmental Security Targets: A Stochastic Global Biosphere Management Model. In: Systems Analysis 2015 - A Conference in Celebration of Howard Raiffa, 11 -13 November, 2015, Laxenburg, Austria.

Fetzel T, Havlik P, & Erb KH (2015). Towards Sustainable Livestock Production Systems: Analyzing Ecological Constraints to Grazing Intensity. In: Systems Analysis 2015 - A Conference in Celebration of Howard Raiffa, 11 -13 November, 2015, Laxenburg, Austria.

Frank S, Schmid E, Havlik P, Schneider U, Bottcher H, Balkovič J, & Obersteiner M (2015). The dynamic soil organic carbon mitigation potential of European cropland. Global Environmental Change 35: 269-278. DOI:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.08.004.

Gambhir A, Napp T, Hawkes A, McCollum D, Fricko O, Havlik P, Riahi K, Drouet L, et al. (2015). Assessing the challenges of global long-term mitigation scenarios. AVOID 2

Havlik P, Valin H, Gusti M, Schmid E, Leclère D, Forsell N, Herrero M, Khabarov N, et al. (2015). Climate change impacts and mitigation in the developing world: An Integrated Assessment of the Agriculture and Forestry Sectors. Policy Research Working Paper No. WPS 7477. The World Bank Group

Havlik P, Valin H ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0618-773X, Mosnier A, Forsell N, Frank S ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5702-8547, Leclère D, Palazzo A ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8167-9403, Ermolieva T, et al. (2015). Integrated Multi-scale Modeling Framework for Assessment of Land-use Related Challenges under Global Change. In: Systems Analysis 2015 - A Conference in Celebration of Howard Raiffa, 11 -13 November, 2015, Laxenburg, Austria.

Herrero M, Wirsenius S, Henderson B, Rigolot C, thronton P, Havlik P, de Boer I, & Gerber P (2015). Livestock and the environment: what have we learned in the past decade? Annual Review of Environment and Resources 40: 177-202. DOI:10.1146/annurev-environ-031113-093503.

Kraxner F, Leduc S, Yowargana P, Shchepashchenko D, Fuss S, Havlik P, & Mosnier A (2015). Negative Emissions and Interactions with other Mitigation Options: A Bottom-up Methodology for Indonesia. In: Systems Analysis 2015 - A Conference in Celebration of Howard Raiffa, 11 -13 November, 2015, Laxenburg, Austria.

Krisztin T, Havlik P, Leclère D, & Moreau I (2015). Global High-resolution Land-use Change Projections: A Bayesian Multinomial Logit Downscaling Approach Incorporating Model Uncertainty and Spatial Effects. In: Systems Analysis 2015 - A Conference in Celebration of Howard Raiffa, 11 -13 November, 2015, Laxenburg, Austria.

Leclère D, Azevedo L, Skalsky R, Balkovič J, Havlik P, & Obersteiner M (2015). Towards Systematic Evaluation of Crop Model Outputs for Global Land-use Models. In: Systems Analysis 2015 - A Conference in Celebration of Howard Raiffa, 11 -13 November, 2015, Laxenburg, Austria.

Mosnier A, Mant R, Pirker J, Bodin B, Makoudjou A, Awono E, Bokelo D, Tonga P, et al. (2015). Modelling future land use changes in Central Africa 2000-2030. A report by the REDD-PAC project. UNEP-WCMC, IIASA, COMIFAC

Mosnier A, Mant R, Pirker J, Bodin P, Bokelo D, Tonga P, Havlik P, Bocqueho G, et al. (2015). Modelling Land Use Changes in the Democratic Republic of Congo 2000-2030 . A report by the REDD-PAC project. UNEP-WCMC, IIASA, COMIFAC

Mosnier A, Mant R, Pirker J, Makoudjou A, Awono E, Bodin P, Tonga P, Havlik P, et al. (2015). Modelling Land Use Changes in Cameroon 2000-2030 . A report by the REDD-PAC project. UNEP-WCMC, IIASA, COMIFAC

Pastor A, Palazzo A ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8167-9403, Havlik P, Ludwig F, Obersteiner M ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6981-2769, & Kabat P (2015). Defining New Global Land-use Map in 2050 by Including Environmental Flow Requirements. In: Systems Analysis 2015 - A Conference in Celebration of Howard Raiffa, 11 -13 November, 2015, Laxenburg, Austria.

Yermoliev Y, Ermolieva T, Havlik P, Mosnier A, Obersteiner M, Leclère D, Fritz S, Kyryzyuk S, et al. (2015). Robust Rescaling Methods for Integrated Water, Food, and Energy Security Management under Systemic Risks and Uncertainty. In: Systems Analysis 2015 - A Conference in Celebration of Howard Raiffa, 11 -13 November, 2015, Laxenburg, Austria.

Fuss S, Havlik P, Szolgayova J, Schmid E, Reuter WH, Khabarov N, Obersteiner M, Ermolieva T, et al. (2015). Global food security & adaptation under crop yield volatility. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 98: 223-233. DOI:10.1016/j.techfore.2015.03.019.

Weindl I, Lotze-Campen H, Popp A, Mueller C, Havlik P, Herrero M, Schmitz C, & Rolinski S (2015). Livestock in a changing climate: production system transitions as an adaptation strategy for agriculture. Environmental Research Letters 10 (9): 094021. DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/10/9/094021.

Kleinwechter Ulrich, Levesque Antoine, Havlik P, Forsell N, Zhang YW, Fricko O, & Obersteiner M (2015). Global food efficiency of climate change mitigation in agriculture. In: International Association of Agricultural Economists 2015 Conference, 9-14 August 2015, Milan, Italy.

Havlik P, Leclère D, Valin H, Herrero M, Schmid E, Soussana JF, Mueller C, & Obersteiner M (2015). Chapter 6: Global climate change, food supply and livestock production systems: A bioeconomic analysis. In: Climate Change and Food Systems: Global assessments and implications for food security and trade. Eds. Elbehri, A., pp. 178-197 Rome: FAO. ISBN 978-92-5-108699-5

Forsell N, Havlik P, Korosuo A, Kraxner F, Frank S, Valin H, Gusti M, Zhang W, et al. (2015). Global harvesting of wood under different socio-economic and climate mitigation scenarios. In: 17th IBFRA Conference, Towards A New Era of Forest Science in the Boreal Region, 24-29 May 2015, Rovaniemi, Finland.

Fritz S, See L, McCallum I, Bun A, Moltchanova E, Dürauer M, Perger C, Havlik P, et al. (2015). Mapping global cropland field size. Global Change Biology 21 (5): 1980-1992. DOI:10.1111/gcb.12838.

Mosnier A, Mant R, Pirker J, Bodin P, Ndinga R, Tonga P, Havlik P, Bocqueho G, et al. (2015). Modelling Land Use Changes in the Republic of Congo 2000-2030 . A report by the REDD-PAC project. UNEP-WCMC, IIASA, COMIFAC

Nordstrom E-M, Lundstrom A, Forsell N, Korosuo A, Havlik P, Kraxner F, Bergh J, Lundmark T, et al. (2015). Impacts of global climate scenarios on forest management and harvesting in Sweden. [[Abstracts of the 17th IBFRA Conference, Towards a New Era of Forest Science in the Boreal Region]], 24-29 May, Rovaniemi, Finland (May 2015)

Ermolieva TY, Ermoliev YM, Havlik P, Mosnier A, Leclère D, Kraxner F, Khabarov N, & Obersteiner M (2015). Systems analysis of robust strategic decisions to plan secure food, energy, and water provision based on the stochastic GLOBIOM model. Cybernetics and Systems Analysis 51 (1): 125-133. DOI:10.1007/s10559-015-9704-2.

Turkovska O, Gusti M, Lauri P, Forsell N, Havlik P, & Obersteiner M (2015). Linear optimization of forest management for dynamic recursive model. Eastern-European Journal of Enterprise Technologies 5 (4): 12-18. DOI:10.15587/1729-4061.2015.50966.

Valin H ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0618-773X, Peters D, van den Berg M, Frank S ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5702-8547, Havlik P, Forsell N, Hamelinck C, Pirker J, et al. (2015). The land use change impact of biofuels consumed in the EU: Quantification of area and greenhouse gas impacts. ECOFYS Netherlands B.V.

Fritz S, Nordling J, See L, McCallum I, Perger C, Becker-Reshef I, Mucher S, Bydekerke L, et al. (2014). Towards the development and validation of a global field size and irrigation map using crowdsourcing, mobile apps and Google Earth engine in support of GEOGLAM. Presentation, [[AGU Fall Meeting]], San Francisco, CA, USA (December 2014)

Leclère D, Havlik P, Fuss S, Schmid E, Mosnier A, Walsh B ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1689-2309, Valin H ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0618-773X, Herrero M, et al. (2014). Climate change induced transformations of agricultural systems: insights from a global model. Environmental Research Letters 9 (12): no.124018. DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/9/12/124018.

Msangi S, Enahoro D, Herrero M, Magnan N, Havlik P, Notenbaert A, & Nelgen S (2014). Integrating livestock feeds and production systems into agricultural multi-market models: The example of IMPACT. Food Policy: 365-377. DOI:10.1016/j.foodpol.2014.10.002.

Ermoliev Y, Ermolieva T, Havlik P, Mosnier A, Leclère D, Obersteiner M, & Kostyuchenko Y (2014). Estimating global-local dynamics of land use systems by downscaling from GLOBIOM model. In: Integrated Management, Security and Robustness. Eds. Zagorodny, AG, Ermoliev, YM & Bogdanov, VL, NASU & Innovation Center of the NASU. ISBN 978-966-02-7376-4

Ermolieva T, Ermoliev Y, Havlik P, Mosnier A, Fuss S, Leclère D, Khabarov N, & Obersteiner M (2014). Systems analysis of strategic decisions for planning secure food, energy, water provision based on stochastic GLOBIOM. In: Integrated Management, Security and Robustness. Eds. Zagorodny, AG, Ermoliev, YM & Bogdanov, VL, NASU & Innovation Center of the NASU. ISBN 978-966-02-7376-4

Obersteiner M, Kraxner F, Mosnier A, Bocqueho G, Khabarov N, & Havlik P (2014). Addressing the drivers of deforestation: exploring synergies between REDD(plus) and forest policy. [[The International Forestry Review]], Proceedings (Abstracts), XXIV IUFRO World Congress, 5-11 October 2014, Salt Lake City, USA Vol.16(5):545 (October 2014)

Vervoort JM, Thornton PK, Kristjanson P, Forch W, Ericksen PJ, Kok K, Ingram JSI, Herrero M, et al. (2014). Challenges to scenario-guided adaptive action on food security under climate change. Global Environmental Change: 383-394. DOI:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2014.03.001.

Cohn AS, Mosnier A, Havlik P, Valin H, Herrero M, Schmid E, O'Hare M, & Obersteiner M (2014). Cattle ranching intensification in Brazil can reduce global greenhouse gas emissions by sparing land from deforestation. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 111 (20): 7236-7241. DOI:10.1073/pnas.1307163111.

Mosnier A, Bocqueho G, Mant R, Obersteiner M, Havlik P, Kapos V, Fritz S, & Botrill L (2014). REDD-plus projects in the Democratic Republic of Congo: Impacts on future emissions, income and biodiversity. [[Geophysical Research Abstracts]], 16:EGU2014-14713

Mosnier A, Havlik P, Obersteiner M, Aoki K, Schmid E, Fritz S, McCallum I, & Leduc S (2014). Modeling impact of development trajectories and a global agreement on reducing emissions from deforestation on Congo Basin forests by 2030. Environmental and Resource Economics 57 (4): 505-525. DOI:10.1007/s10640-012-9618-7.

Havlik P, Valin H, Herrero M, Obersteiner M, Schmid E, Rufino MC, Mosnier A, Thornton PK, et al. (2014). Climate change mitigation through livestock system transitions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 111 (10): 3709-3714. DOI:10.1073/pnas.1308044111.

Lauri P, Havlik P, Kindermann G, Forsell N, Bottcher H, & Obersteiner M (2014). Woody biomass energy potential in 2050. Energy Policy 66: 19-31. DOI:10.1016/j.enpol.2013.11.033.

Nelson GC, Valin H, Sands RD, Havlik P, Ahammad H, Deryng D, Elliott J, Fujimori S, et al. (2014). Climate change effects on agriculture: Economic responses to biophysical shocks. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 111 (9): 3274-3279. DOI:10.1073/pnas.1222465110.

Mosnier A, Obersteiner M, Havlik P, Schmid E, Khabarov N, Westphal M, Valin H, Frank S, et al. (2014). Global food markets, trade and the cost of climate change adaptation. Food Security 6 (1): 29-44. DOI:10.1007/s12571-013-0319-z.

Lotze-Campen H, von Lampe M, Kyle P, Fujimori S, Havlik P, von Meijl H, Hasegawa T, Popp A, et al. (2014). Impacts of increased bioenergy demand on global food markets: An AgMIP economic model intercomparison. Agricultural Economics 45 (1): 103-116. DOI:10.1111/agec.12092.

Nelson GC, van der Mensbrugghe D, Ahammad H, Blanc E, Calvin K, Hasegawa T, Havlik P, Heyhoe E, et al. (2014). Agriculture and climate change in global scenarios: Why don't the models agree. Agricultural Economics 45 (1): 85-101. DOI:10.1111/agec.12091.

Robinson S, van Meijl H, Willenbockel D, Valin H, Fujimori S, Masui T, Sands R, Wise M, et al. (2014). Comparing supply-side specifications in models of global agriculture and the food system. Agricultural Economics 45 (1): 21-35. DOI:10.1111/agec.12087.

Schmitz C, von Meijl H, Kyle P, Nelson GC, Fujimori S, Gurgel A, Havlik P, Heyhoe E, et al. (2014). Land-use change trajectories up to 2050: Insights from a global agro-economic model comparison. Agricultural Economics 45 (1): 69-84. DOI:10.1111/agec.12090.

Valin H, Sands RD, van der Mensbrugghe D, Nelson GC, Ahammad H, Blanc E, Bodirsky B, Fujimori S, et al. (2014). The future of food demand: Understanding differences in global economic models. Agricultural Economics 45 (1): 51-67. DOI:10.1111/agec.12089.

von Lampe M, Willenbockel D, Ahammad H, Blanc E, Cai Y, Calvin K, Fujimori S, Hasegawa T, et al. (2014). Why do global long-term scenarios for agriculture differ? An overview of the AgMIP Global Economic Model Intercomparison. Agricultural Economics 45 (1): 3-20. DOI:10.1111/agec.12086.

Herrero M, Havlik P, McIntire J, Palazzo A ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8167-9403, & Valin H ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0618-773X (2014). African Livestock Futures: Realizing the potential of livestock for food security, poverty reduction and the environment in Sub-Saharan Africa. Office of the Special Representative of the UN Secretary General for Food Security and Nutrition and the United Nations System Influenza Coordination (UNSIC), Geneva, Switzerland

Palazzo A ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8167-9403, Vervoort J, Havlik P, Mason-D’Croz D, & Islam S (2014). Simulating stakeholder-driven food and climate scenarios for policy development in Africa, Asia and Latin America A multi-regional synthesis. CGIAR-CCAFS

Capros P, De Vita A, Hoeglund-Isaksson L, Winiwarter W, Purohit P, Bottcher H, Frank S, Havlik P, et al. (2013). EU Energy, Transport and GHG Emissions Trends to 2050 - Reference Scenario 2013. Publications Office of the European Union: European Commission. ISBN 978-92-79-33728-4 DOI:10.2833/17897.

Herrero M, Havlik P, Valin H, Notenbaert A, Rufino MC, Thornton PK, Bluemmel M, Weiss F, et al. (2013). Biomass use, production, feed efficiencies, and greenhouse gas emissions from global livestock systems. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 110 (52): 20888-20893. DOI:10.1073/pnas.1308149110.

Kraxner F, Nordström E, Havlik P, Gusti M, Mosnier A, Frank S, Valin H, Fritz S, et al. (2013). Global bioenergy scenarios - Future forest development, land-use implications, and trade-offs. Biomass and Bioenergy 57: 86-96. DOI:10.1016/j.biombioe.2013.02.003.

Valin H, Havlik P, Mosnier A, Herrero M, Schmid E, & Obersteiner M (2013). Agricultural productivity and greenhouse gas emissions: Trade-offs or synergies between mitigation and food security? Environmental Research Letters 8 (3): no.035019. DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/035019.

Ermolieva T, Ermoliev Y, Havlik P, Mosnier A, & Obersteiner M (2013). Robust rescaling methods for integrated water, food, energy security management under uncertainty. Paper presented at [[XIII International Conference on Stochastic Programming]] (ICSP2013), 8-12 July 2013, Bergamo, Italy

Mosnier A, Havlik P, Valin H, Baker JS, Murray B, Feng S, Obersteiner M, McCarl BA, et al. (2013). Alternative U.S. biofuel mandates and global GHG emissions: The role of land use change, crop management and yield growth. Energy Policy 57: 602-614. DOI:10.1016/j.enpol.2013.02.035.

Frank S, Bottcher H, Havlik P, Valin H, Mosnier A, Obersteiner M, Schmid E, & Elbersen B (2013). How effective are the sustainability criteria accompanying the European Union 2020 biofuel targets? GCB Bioenergy 5 (3): 306-314. DOI:10.1111/j.1757-1707.2012.01188.x.

Reisinger A, Havlik P, Riahi K, van Vliet O, Obersteiner M, & Herrero M (2013). Implications of alternative metrics for global mitigation costs and greenhouse gas emissions from agriculture. Climatic Change 117 (4): 677-690. DOI:10.1007/s10584-012-0593-3.

Bottcher H, Frank S, Havlik P, & Elbersen B (2013). Future GHG emissions more efficiently controlled by land-use policies than by bioenergy sustainability criteria. Biofuels, Bioproducts and Biorefining 7 (2): 115-125. DOI:10.1002/bbb.1369.

Havlik P, Valin H, Mosnier A, Obersteiner M, Baker JS, Herrero M, Rufino MC, & Schmid E (2013). Crop productivity and the global livestock sector: Implications for land use change and greenhouse gas emissions. American Journal of Agricultural Economics 95 (2): 442-448. DOI:10.1093/ajae/aas085.

Bottcher H, Verkerk PJ, Gusti M, Havlik P, & Grassi G (2012). Projection of the future EU forest CO2 sink as affected by recent bioenergy policies using two advanced forest management models. GCB Bioenergy 4 (6): 773-783. DOI:10.1111/j.1757-1707.2011.01152.x.

Gusti M, Bottcher H, Kindermann G, Havlik P, & Obersteiner M (2012). Simulation of REDD-plus options using IIASA model framework. In: iEMSs 2012: Managing Resources of a Limited Planet, 1-5 July 2012.

Mosnier A, Havlik P, Valin H, Baker JS, Murray BC, Feng S, Obersteiner M, McCarl BA, et al. (2012). The Net Global Effects of Alternative U.S. Biofuel Mandates. Report NI R 12-01, Nicholas Institute for Environmental Policy Solutions, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA (January 2012)

Böttcher H, Gusti M, Havlik P, Mosnier A, & Obersteiner M (2012). Global forestry emission projections and abatement costs. In: Worlds Within Reach: From Science To Policy - IIASA 40th Anniversary Conference, 24-26 October 2012, Hofburg Congress Center, Vienna and IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria.

Frank S, Hannes B, Havlik P, Hugo V, Aline M, Obersteiner M, Schmid E, & Berien E (2012). How effective are the sustainability criteria accompanying the European Union 2020 biofuel targets? In: Worlds Within Reach: From Science To Policy - IIASA 40th Anniversary Conference, 24-26 October 2012, Hofburg Congress Center, Vienna and IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria.

Fritz S, Fuss S, Havlik P, Szolgayova J, McCallum I, Obersteiner M, & See L (2012). The value of determining global land cover for assessing climate change mitigation options. In: The Value of Information: Methodological Frontiers and New Applications in Environment and Health. Eds. Laxminarayan, R & Macauley, MK, Dordrecht: Springer. 10.1007/978-94-007-4839-2_8.

Havlik P, Herrero M, Valin H, Mosnier A, Obersteiner M, Schmid E, Frank S, Fuss S, et al. (2012). Production system based global livestock sector modeling: Good news for the future. In: Worlds Within Reach: From Science To Policy - IIASA 40th Anniversary Conference, 24-26 October 2012, Hofburg Congress Center, Vienna and IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria.

Kraxner F, Nordstrom E-M, Obersteiner M, Havlik P, Gusti M, Kindermann G, Fuss S, & Khabarov N (2012). Global Feedstock Scenarios for Bioenergy - Land-Use Change and Trade-Offs. Paper submitted to IEW 2012, the 31st edition of the International Energy Workshop, 19-21 June 2012, University of Cape Town, South Africa

Krey V, Riahi K, Johnson N, Kolp P, Lutz W, KC S, Crespo Cuaresma J, Havlik P, et al. (2012). The new scenarios process – the way toward more integrated assessment of climate change. In: Worlds Within Reach: From Science To Policy - IIASA 40th Anniversary Conference, 24-26 October 2012, Hofburg Congress Center, Vienna and IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria.

Lauri P, Havlik P, Kindermann G, & Obersteiner M (2012). Global potential of energy wood. In: Worlds Within Reach: From Science To Policy - IIASA 40th Anniversary Conference, 24-26 October 2012, Hofburg Congress Center, Vienna and IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria.

McCallum I, Fritz S, Khabarov N, Fuss S, Szolgayova J, Rydzak F, Havlik P, Kraxner F, et al. (2012). Identifying And Quantifying The Benefits Of GEOSS. In: Worlds Within Reach: From Science To Policy - IIASA 40th Anniversary Conference, 24-26 October 2012, Hofburg Congress Center, Vienna and IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria.

Mosnier A, Havlik P, Valin H, Baker JS, Murray BC, Feng S, Obersteiner M, McCarl BA, et al. (2012). The net global effects of alternative U.S. biofuel mandates. In: Worlds Within Reach: From Science To Policy - IIASA 40th Anniversary Conference, 24-26 October 2012, Hofburg Congress Center, Vienna and IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria.

Valin H, Havlik P, Mosnier A, & Obersteiner M (2012). Impact of Climate Change Mitigation Policies on Food Consumption Patterns. In: Worlds Within Reach: From Science To Policy - IIASA 40th Anniversary Conference, 24-26 October 2012, Hofburg Congress Center, Vienna and IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria.

Fritz S, See L, McCallum I, Schill C, Obersteiner M, van der Velde M, Bottcher H, Havlik P, et al. (2011). Highlighting continued uncertainty in global land cover maps for the user community. Environmental Research Letters 6 (4): no.044005. DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/6/4/044005.

Havlik P, Schneider UA, Schmid E, Bottcher H, Fritz S, Skalsky R, Aoki K, De Cara S, et al. (2011). Global land-use implications of first and second generation biofuel targets. Energy Policy 39 (10): 5690-5702. DOI:10.1016/j.enpol.2010.03.030.

Bottcher H, Gusti M, Mosnier A, & Havlik P (2011). Global forestry emissions projections and abatement costs. Final Report submitted to The Secretary of State of Energy and Climate Change, London, UK (August 2011)

Bottcher H, Verkerk H, Gusti M, Havlik P, & Schneider U (2011). Analysis of potential and costs of LULUCF use by EU Member States. Final Report submitted to the European Commission - DG Climate Action, IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria (May 2011)

Fuss S, Havlik P, Szolgayova J, & Obersteiner M (2011). A stochastic analysis of biofuel policies. In: Energy Solutions for a Sustainable World - Proceedings of the Third International Conference on Applied Energy (ICEA2011), 16-18 May 2011.

Schleupner C, Schneider UA, Jantke K, & Havlik P (2011). Costs and benefits of spatial data accuracy on comprehensive conservation planning assessments - A conceptual approach. In: 34th International Symposium on Remote Sensing of Environment - The GEOSS Era: Towards Operational Environmental Monitoring, 10-15 April 2011, Sydney, NSW; Australia.

Bamiere L, Havlik P, Jacquet F, Lherm M, Millet G, & Bretagnolle V (2011). Farming system modelling for agri-environmental policy design: The case of a spatially non-aggregated allocation of conservation measures. Ecological Economics 70 (5): 891-899. DOI:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2010.12.014.

Schneider UA, Havlik P, Schmid E, Valin H, Mosnier A, Obersteiner M, Bottcher H, Skalsky R, et al. (2011). Impacts of population growth, economic development, and technical change on global food production and consumption. Agricultural Systems 104 (2): 204-215. DOI:10.1016/j.agsy.2010.11.003.

Bird DN, Zanchi G, Pena N, Havlik P, & Frieden D (2011). Analysis of the potential of sustainable forest-based bioenergy for climate change mitigation. Working Paper 59, CIFOR - Center for International Forestry Research, Bogor, Indonesia

Mosnier A, Havlik P, & Obersteiner M (2010). Modelling impacts of development trajectories on forest cover and GHG emissions in the Congo Basin. Final Report (December 2010)

Smith P, Gregory PJ, van Vuuren DP, Obersteiner M, Havlik P, Rounsevell M, Woods J, Stehfest E, et al. (2010). Competition for land. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 365 (1554): 2941-2957. DOI:10.1098/rstb.2010.0127.

McCallum I, Fritz S, Khabarov N, Fuss S, Szolgayova J, Rydzak F, Havlik P, Kraxner F, et al. (2010). Identifying and quantifying the benefits Of GEOSS. [[Earthzine]], posted on 12 July 2010 in Articles, Earth Observation, Economy, GEOSS/ICEO News

Sauer T, Havlik P, Schneider UA, Schmid E, Kindermann G, & Obersteiner M (2010). Agriculture and resource availability in a changing world: The role of irrigation. Water Resources Research 46: W06503. DOI:10.1029/2009WR007729.

Obersteiner M, Rametsteiner E, Kraxner F, McCallum I, Aoki K, Bottcher H, Fritz S, Gusti M, et al. (2010). Towards a sound REDD. In: Deforestation and Climate Change: Reducing Carbon Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation. Eds. Bosetti, V. & Lubowski, R., Cheltenham: Edward Elgar. ISBN 9781848448247

Searchinger TD, Hamburg SP, Melillo J, Chamaides W, Havlik P, Kammen DM, Likens GE, Obersteiner M, et al. (2010). Bioenergy: Counting on incentives -- Response (Letters). [[Science]], 327(5970):1200-12001 (5 March 2010)

Searchinger TD, Hamburg SP, Melillo J, Chameides WL, Havlik P, Kammen DM, Likens GE, Obersteiner M, et al. (2010). Carbon calculations to consider - Response (Letters). [[Science]], 327(5967):781 (12 February 2010)

Gusti M, Havlik P, & Obersteiner M (2009). How much additional carbon can be stored in forests if economic measures are used and how much could it cost? Research Reports of the National University of Bioresources and Nature Management of Ukraine 35

Havlik P (2009). zzz - Only a test - zzz. Test entry in publications catalog

Obersteiner M, Huettner M, Kraxner F, McCallum I, Aoki K, Bottcher H, Fritz S, Gusti M, et al. (2009). Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation: A Systematic Approach. IIASA Policy Brief #08 (December 2009)

Obersteiner M, Huettner M, Kraxner F, McCallum I, Aoki K, Bottcher H, Fritz S, Gusti M, et al. (2009). On fair, effective and efficient REDD mechanism design. Carbon Balance and Management 4 (11): 1-11. DOI:10.1186/1750-0680-4-11.

Searchinger TD, Hamburg SP, Melillo J, Chameides WL, Havlik P, Kammen DM, Likens GE, Lubowski RN, et al. (2009). Fixing a critical climate accounting error. Science 326 (5952): 527-528. DOI:10.1126/science.1178797.

Havlik P, Schneider UA, Schmid E, Bottcher H, Kindermann G, Leduc S, & Obersteiner M (2009). GHG mitigation through bioenergy production versus carbon sinks enhancement: A quantitative analysis (Abstract). [[IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science]], 6(16):162004 (1 February 2009)

Fritz S, Havlik P, Schneider UA, Schmid E, Skalsky R, & Obersteiner M (2009). Uncertainties in global land cover data and its implications for climate change mitigation policies assessment. In: Proceedings from the 33rd International Symposium on Remote Sensing of Environment (ISRSE-33) "Sustaining the Millennium Development Goals", 4-8 May 2009.

Bottcher H, Aoki K, De Cara S, Gusti M, Havlik P, Kindermann G, Schneider UA, & Obersteiner M (2008). GHG Mitigation Potentials and Costs from Land-Use, Land-Use Change and Forestry (LULUCF) in Annex 1 Countries. GAINS Methodology Report, IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria (November 2008)

Gusti M, Havlik P, & Obersteiner M (2008). Technical Description of the IIASA Model Cluster. Background Paper, Eliasch Review "Climate Change: Financing Global Forests," Office of Climate Change, UK (August 2008)

Rametsteiner E, Nilsson S, Bottcher H, Havlik P, Kraxner F, Leduc S, Obersteiner M, Rydzak F, et al. (2007). Study of the Effects of Globalization on the Economic Viability of EU Forestry. Final Report of the AGRI Tender Project: AGRI-G4-2006-06 (December 2007)